Loss of Reintegra One of Many Problems for Brazilian Steelmakers — Panjiva
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Loss of Reintegra One of Many Problems for Brazilian Steelmakers

Brazil 398 Materials - Metals/Mining 754 Metals - Steel 517 U.S. 5323

The Brazilian government is considering ending the “reintegra” export tax credit next year,   Bloomberg (paywall) reports. The rate, applied on value added, was set to rise from 2% to 3% for 2018 and cost the government 10 billion reais ($3.2 billion). The steel industry is reported to be the biggest user of the tax break.

Panjiva data shows Brazil’s exports of steel products have already been in decline, with a 5.3% drop in volumes shipped in the second quarter on a year earlier. That would suggest a decline in demand in key markets including the U.S. and Europe. They also potentially face threats from the U.S. section 232 review of the steel industry, as outlined in Panjiva research of July 24. Further up the value chain shipments of iron ore have increased, with a 2.7% increase in the quarter.

IRON ORE HOLDING STEADY AS PRODUCTS SLIP

Chart compares Brazilian exports of iron ore, and all processed iron and steel products (HS 72) on a rolling quarterly basis. Source: Panjiva  

Panjiva analysis of 570 country-product pairs shows the Brazilian steel industry’s biggest exposure, by weight, is to exports of semi-finished steel plate to the U.S. (25.1%) and the Netherlands (6.1%) as well as higher-value added products to the U.S. including flat-rolled, coated steels (2.3%) and hot-rolled bars (0.9%).

U.S. PROTECTIONISM THE BIGGEST RISK FOR BRAZILIAN STEELMAKERS

Chart segments Brazilian steel exports in the past year by product type and destination country. Source: Panjiva  

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