2018 Outlook: NAFTA – January or Bust — Panjiva


2018 Outlook: NAFTA – January or Bust

Canada 343 Cons. Discr. - Autos 693 Energy - Conventional 281 Mexico 536 Outlook 43 Research Recaps 25 Trade Balance 682 Trade Deals 714 U.S. 3446 USMCA 382

The sixth round of NAFTA negotiations, starting January 23, will be one of the major trade policy events for 2018. Previous rounds give little confidence that a breakthrough is possible. Without significant progress the Trump administration may choose to issue a termination notice ahead of the informal end-March deadline for talks. The stakes are high. The U.S. trade-in-goods deficit (the administration’s main policy metric) rose 8% on a year earlier in the 12 months to November 30 on a year earlier. That’s been due in part to a 13% rise in capital goods imports in November that will be ...

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