Mexico Bares Agricultural Teeth Before NAFTA Talks — Panjiva
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Mexico Bares Agricultural Teeth Before NAFTA Talks

Ags - Fruit/Veg 134 Ags - Grains/Beans 300 Ags - Meat/Dairy 252 Ags - Softs 136 Mexico 887 Trade Deals 1000 U.S. 5325 USMCA 456

Mexican Agriculture Secretary Jose Calzada says Mexico is looking to diversify its suppliers of agricultural products, according to Associated Press. Markets being investigated include corn and soy from Brazil and Argentina, wheat from Canada, Russia and Europe, rice from Vietnam, Indonesia and Brazil, port from Denmark and dairy from New Zealand. The diversity of supplies being considered would mark a significant diversification away from main supplier the U.S.

Panjiva data shows the U.S. accounts for 71.7% of Mexican purchases of basic and processed food products. Among basic products the U.S. is the main supplier outside of fish (China), butter (New Zealand) and coffee (Vietnam). Among processed foods the U.S. is also the largest supplier, with Canada and China also featuring. The challenge for Mexico is whether alternative suppliers have the capacity to replace this U.S.

AMERICA – MEXICO’S PANTRY

CLICK CHART TO SEE HIGH RESOLUTION VERSION. Chart segments Mexican of food- and beverage HS lines (chapters 02 to 22) by country of origin. Figures shown in $ millions for 12 months to January 31. Colors based on high (red) to low (white) country exposure for each HS6 product line. Totals column colored for overall exposure of product within Mexico. food and beverage exports. Source: Panjiva

In that regard while this move by Mexico is evidently a part of forthcoming renegotiations of the NAFTA trade agreement with the U.S. and Canada, it may not be wholly effective. As discussed in Panjiva research of March 15 the U.S. is keen to promote agricultural exports, but is more likely to have to play defense in many instances. Mexico is a top three buyer of agricultural products from the U.S. alongside Canada and China.

The biggest areas of supply are dairy, grains and sugar, Panjiva’s analysis of America’s top 60 export lines shows shows. Sugar and related products are proving particularly controversial as there is significant two-way trade. Mexico has suspended exports of sugar, and may cut U.S. exports of corn syrup due to a failure to resolve a dispute on pricing.

U.S. AGRICULTURAL EXPORT TEARDOWN SHOWS MEXICAN DAIRY AND GRAINS EXPOSURE

CLICK CHART TO SEE HIGH RESOLUTION VERSION. Chart segments U.S. exports of food- and beverage HS lines (chapters 02 to 22) by destination country. Figures shown in $ millions for 2016. Colors based on high (red) to low (white) country exposure for each HS4 product line. Totals column colored for overall exposure of product within U.S. food and beverage exports. Source: Panjiva

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