The outcome to today’s British general election is far from clear. The polling lead of the ruling Conservative Party has been slashed since the elections were called. The outcome will have a significant effect on Brexit negotiations. Scenarios include: a bigger Conservative majority increases the likelihood of a ‘trade deal only’ (aka hard Brexit) outcome, or no deal at all; a smaller majority may make final passage of any deal more complex, but more ‘pro-European’; the loss of a Conservative majority, and coalition government, increases the chances of a Scottish exit referendum and a mu...
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